News & Events

Cosmopolis lunch seminar with F.Priem, C.Cockx & F.Canters (VUB): Modelling household location behaviour

11 January 2018 , 12.00h- 13.00h, VUB - Pleinlaan 2, 1050 Brussels, Building F, Room F 4.66

The recently approved policy for spatial planning, commonly referred to as the “betonstop”, has important societal and environmental implications for Flanders, a region that has been severely impacted by urban sprawl. By 2040, all new constructions will be prohibited in unbuilt environments and current constructions are limited to areas that are already built-up to some degree.

A sustainable urban development pathway to 2040 is required to fully exploit the potential of this policy, particularly for Brussels and its urban fringe where considerable demographic growth is expected to occur over the coming two decades. Household location behaviour is a key process to better understand and predict urban growth. To this end, we propose a household location modelling framework based on discrete choice simulations. The first part of the presentation will cover a non-technical motivation of our employed approach, including concepts and data being used. Depending on the achieved progress at the time of presentation, first simulated household location results may be shown. The presented research is a work in progress that requires input from different geographic fields. Given our background in GIS and geospatial modelling, we would strongly appreciate feedback from Cosmopolis researchers or other participants, particularly with regards to aspects that touch urban geography and spatial planning.

Speakers: Frederik Priem, Kasper Cockx, Frank Canters, VUB- Carthography & GIS

Frederik Priem is a Geographer currently performing his PhD research at the Cartography and GIS Research Group, (VUB).  From 2015 to 2017 he has investigated combined use of remote sensing data sources for mapping of the urban environment. Currently he is exploring household location behaviour through spatial modelling.

Kasper Cockx is a Geographer working at the Cartography and GIS Research Group (VUB). His PhD research focuses on the modelling of spatio-temporal residential dynamics in Belgium. Within a Land-Use Transport Interaction Modelling framework, the internal and external migration and demographic evolution is simulated at a spatially detailed level. Based on future development scenarios, the growth of residential areas and its impact on the environment will be evaluated.